00:00
Now let's switch gears a bit and talk about
population pyramids. I like population pyramids
a lot, they are an easy visual way of understanding
the distribution of ages in a given population
and age tells us a lot about the probable
trajectory of a population towards disease
states. The way a population pyramid is set
up, is on the vertical axis we have the categories
of age in a population and on the horizontal
axis we have the numbers of people in those
particular age groups. We tend to divide it
by sex as well; so on one side will be men
and the other side women. Let's look at an
example. This is Bahrain in 2012. This is
a fascinating distribution, in Bahrain we
can see that there is mostly men in the population
and that difference in men and women really
is exemplified around the 30 to 40 year range.
00:53
We also see that Bahrain seems to be a mostly
young population, the majority of people are
under 40 years of age, we have very few numbers
of people over 70. Compare that to Japan;
Japan is one of the oldest countries in the
world in terms of its age distribution. We
see that the numbers of men and women are
fairly equivalent, but most people seem to
be over 40, so that makes it an old population.
01:19
Now let's talk about absolute versus pure
measurements. So far when we talk about ratios
and rates, those are relative measurements,
so absolutes are pure quantities and relative
measures are rates or ratios, it's important
to get these straight in your mind, especially
when you're reading the newspaper or reports
on diseases, very often we report on relative
rates, when in fact sometimes it's more important
to think about the absolute rates and vice
versa. So this is an intellectual exercise,
it requires a human touch to understand which
is the important information that's being
expressed. Here is an example. The prevalence
of cholera in a community might double from
one year to the next. That's a relative measure.
02:02
Doubling is when we divide what we have this
year by what we had next year, but that might
only reflect a change of two cases to four
cases, or three cases to six cases. That's
an instance of doubling, but the actual numbers,
2, 4, 3, 6, that's quite low. So keep in
mind when we talk about relative measures,
we have to take that extra step and investigate
what the numbers are actually based on.